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Welcome to NAES 2004
National Annenberg Election Survey of 2000 was
the largest academic election poll ever conducted, and the 2004 survey
will match it in size, with a total of about 100,000 interviews. Polling
began in October, 2003 and will continue until after the election in November
2004.
The survey examines a wide range of political attitudes
about candidates, issues and the traits Americans want in a President.
It also has a particular emphasis on the effects of media exposure - campaign
commercials and news from radio, television and newspapers. Additionally,
it measures the effects and other kinds of political communication, from
conversations at home and on the job to various efforts by campaigns to
influence potential voters.
The large sample size enables analysis of groups
that would be too small to measure confidently in ordinary election polls.
Recent studies have examined the differing views of Hispanics from Mexican,
Puerto Rican and other heritages, while another examined people from union
households, broken down by race, sex, and occupation.
Another key feature of the NAES is its use of the
rolling cross sectional methodology for interviewing representative samples
of Americans. With this method, random samples of respondents are interviewed
each day of the election period in such a way that the samples are comparable
from one day to the next. In particular, the composition of each day's
interviews is balanced for demographics and ease of acquiring the interview.
Each day's interviews can then be used to identify trends and points of
change in the public's reactions to political events as they unfold over
the course of the election.
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New National Annenberg Election Survey Analysis
of 2000 and 2004 Elections Published
Capturing Campaign Dynamics, 2000 and 2004: The National Annenberg
Election Survey, written by Daniel Romer, Kate Kenski, Kenneth Winneg,
Christopher Adasiewicz and Kathleen Hall Jamieson, has been published
by the University of Pennsylvania Press.
The book analyzes the presidential elections of 2000 and 2004, two of
the most contested and dramatic in this nation's history. During both
election seasons, the Annenberg Public Policy Center's National Annenberg
Election Survey (NAES) conducted the largest studies ever undertaken of
the American electorate.
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